Monday, October 20, 2008

政府50億扶盤 綜指成功捍衛900點


(吉隆坡20日訊)政府今早宣佈注資50億令吉扶盤,消息傳出后,隆綜指跌幅迅速收窄並重返900點水平,分析師看好扶市舉措,但認為該措施效益短暫。
隔夜美國道瓊斯指數下跌127點,馬股投資者採觀望態度,隆綜指開市走低,9時10分更跌破900點關卡,早盤最低掛888.28點,下挫16.95點。

不過,副首相兼財政部長拿督斯里納吉今早宣佈連串振興經濟配套后,綜指跌幅迅速收窄,更在11時26分重新站上900點水平,休市時掛903.96點,下滑1.27點。

閉市時,綜指報909.51點,上升4.28點,成交量報5億9018萬3600股。

納吉指出,政府將注資50億令吉到Valuecap基金,使該基金規模擴大1倍,達100億令吉,以投資被低估股項。

該基金由國庫控股、退休基金局和國民投資機構在2003年成立,總值100億令吉,被市場視為 “救市”基金。

Valuecap基金成立初期,綜指正掙扎突破650點。

短期效應

志必得證券研究主管馮廷秀接受《中國報》提問時說:“政府現在注資是對的時機,不過,它無法完全扭轉疲弱的投資意願。”

他指出,50億令吉並非巨額資金,估計只能維持短期效應。

他舉例指出,Valuecap基金在2003年成立時,綜指揚勢約為1個月,爾后即恢復疲態。

馮廷秀說,Valuecap基金料投資在流動性較高的股票,而許多機構基金較注重政聯股項,因此估計前者也較專注政聯股票。

他也指出,綜指兩、三週內或觸低,不過屆時不會強勁反彈,而是逐步攀揚,投資者可再耐心觀望。

另外,一名不願具名分析員指出,以馬股市值而言,50億令吉並非一筆大數目,不過,他有助支撐市場、起著加強信心的作用。

“馬股走勢仍胥視第3季財報,若盈利下滑,綜指仍有下跌空間,短期支撐點落在850點水平。”

Malaysia slams global 'casino' principles


THE world financial system, which operates on the "casino" principles, must be changed to ensure stability in the international economy, thus allowing developing nations to implement their development programmes.

Second Finance Minister Tan Sri Nor Mohamed Yakcop said the casino principles have proven to only benefit a small circle of investors, while creating a huge damage to the affected nations.

Citing the 1997 Asian financial crisis, he said currency speculators made several billions of profit from the crisis, but the damage they created in the region was worth hundreds of billions.

Nor Mohamed said the current crisis in the US is motivated by greed and fear.

"The US economy makes so much profit from complex structured financial products created by their banks," he said in Tasek Gelugor, Penang, yesterday. "These products have no genuine value. However, due to greed, they invested heavily without knowing what they are paying for," he added.

He added that when things started to go wrong, the US realised that the wealth was just a worthless paper and their greed shifted into extreme fear.

Nor Mohamed said investors then started panic-selling and refused to invest even in those shares and projects that have genuine prospects and values.

"At this point, they are no longer rationale as they are motivated by fear and the economy begins to slip into recession," he said.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

基金抛售持票套现


由于是区域性的挫跌,再加上投资者们的慌张情绪,场内许多蓝筹股也抵不住这一股跌势,综指成分股当中,IOI集团、大众银行、马银行、森那美、土著联昌都拉低综指的表现。由此也可看出,挫跌股中又以种植股和金融股最为显著。

一向被分析员及投资者标榜为抗跌股及高股息回酬股的大众银行,过去几天原本就在徐徐下滑,今天的跌势尤为明显,全天就下跌7.2%,或是70分,闭市时报8.95元,其外国股(PBBANK-O1)也跌至9元以下的水平,以8.65元挂收,全天下跌85分。

交易员指出,一直都是投资者心头好的大众银行,今天面对重重卖压,主要是因为投资基金为避开这次的股灾,纷纷抛售手中持票套现,反映出大家对于这个熊市的悲观情绪。

Friday, October 10, 2008

终于烧到手了


这个星期买入Pbbank-01的平均价是RM9.60,总计2400股。目前,市价RM8.65。损失近10巴仙。到底什么原因,会造成今天大跌?

Monday, October 6, 2008

大减价又来了


这几天,吃白果,不过,还好,因为,没有烧到手。
目前,持有现金100%。我看终指明天还会再跌,不过有点迫不急待的感觉,想进场。如果美国再跌的话,那就更爽,可以买到便宜货。
好了,明天如果进场,我要买PBBANK-01,RM9.50是我的心水价。那还要看今晚美国的表现如何。多十天,大众银行业绩要出炉了,应该有的博起回。另外,丰隆银行,我也有兴趣,股价波动不大,加上即将宣布股息除权日。未来,大众与丰隆是我的投资选择。